Sales expected to increase 6.0%, and operating income 10.7% year on year
Sales are estimated to grow in both the valve manufacturing business and the brass bar manufacturing business. In the valve manufacturing business, sales are expected to hit record highs as a result of strong demand for construction equipment and semiconductor-related business, as well as the anticipated recovery of the North America and ASEAN markets.
Profitability is expected to improve for the valve manufacturing business, but the Company is carefully watching the brass bar manufacturing business, which is largely affected by copper market conditions.
The Company is planning for capital investment of 10,500 million yen (9,800 million yen in the fiscal year ended March 2018). Depreciation and amortization expenses are expected to be 5,000 million yen (4,200 million yen in the fiscal year ended March 2018).
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Valve Manufacturing Business
In Japan, delivery of redevelopment-related products in the Tokyo metropolitan area is nearing a peak for construction equipment (in terms of marketing, the Company will shift to efforts for meeting the demand related to the Olympics). The industrial valve market is expected to remain strong as the Company focuses on maintenance and updates for existing plants, and some new investments are also taking place. The semiconductor market entered a super-cycle, and continue to display the same strong performance it had in the previous term. Effects of improved production capacity of valves for semiconductor manufacturing equipment are also to be expected. Furthermore, price revisions were made in May based on the steep rise in parts, sub-materials, and logistics costs in addition to rising raw material prices. Full effects of the price revisions are likely to appear from the second half onwards.
Outside Japan, although the business in Europe continues to struggle, sales remain strong in China and South Korea, mainly in valves for semiconductor manufacturing equipment. ASEAN countries and the Americas are also on a recovery trend.
In China, commercial valves for data centers, etc. are expected to sell well. Industrial valves will also follow a recovery trend, due to successfully receiving orders for large transactions, etc. In South Korea, the Company will pursue synergy with an acquired company, Cephas Pipelines Corp. (mentioned below). Oil and gas-related investment is on a recovery trend in North America, and distributors are beginning to expand their inventory. The Company is also expanding its marketing bases and strengthening its structure by establishing technical bases in ASEAN countries, and business there is steadily recovering. Meanwhile, the European market, where the Company's biggest seller is industrial valves, does not show any signs of recovery, so they intend to support the market with a regional headquarters. Delivery for the large-scale project in the Middle East will be completed in the first half.
In terms of profits, in addition to market factors and logistics costs, depreciation expenses are expected to rise, as well as expenses accompanying M&As and the establishment of overseas subsidiaries, but these will be offset due to increased sales and cost reductions, resulting in an improvement in profitability.
Brass Bar Manufacturing Business
Copper price is assumed to be 800,000 yen/ton (average market price in the previous term was 760,000 yen/ton). Domestic demand for brass bars is likely to decline slightly from the previous term, but the Company plans to maintain production volume and increase its market share. Profits are expected to fall due to an increase in depreciation accompanying large-scale capital investment (totaling 5,300 million yen) and higher labor costs. The important point is how much can be covered by cost reduction by improving productivity and promoting sales of high value-added products.
Other
Increased sales and profits are anticipated in the hotel business, thanks to measures such as improving customer satisfaction with room renovations (10th floor, 11th floor), and increasing the number of online reservations and domestic group reservations.
(3) Topics
Revised domestic sales price (announced Apr. 5, 2018)
Although the Company is working on cost reductions and reducing overhead expenses by improving productivity and efficiency, due to soaring prices of parts, sub-materials, and logistics on top of higher raw material costs, it is becoming more difficult to offset expenses through corporate efforts alone. For this reason, on May 1, 2018, prices were revised as follows.
Acquired Cephas Pipelines Corp. in Korea
In Apr. 2018, the Company purchased the Korean industrial butterfly valve manufacturer Cephas Pipelines Corp. (CPL) for about 3,752 million yen. CPL is a specialized manufacturer capable of producing large-diameter butterfly valves.
While KITZ butterfly valves are mainly used for construction equipment and industrial machinery, CPL products are mainly used for power generation, water treatment, oil and gas, and shipbuilding. Also, since the diameter of KITZ valves range from 40-1,350 mm, and CPL valves from 50-4,000 mm, their applicable fields and production ranges complement each other well. KITZ has procured CPL butterfly valves since 2014, and has already delivered a large number of them both in Japan and overseas. In recent years, as the scale of plants has become larger, the diameter of pipes used in the plants also tends to be larger, therefore the demand for large-diameter butterfly valves is increasing. Furthermore, valves capable of handling high temperature, high pressure, and a variety of liquid substances are often required, and overall demand for butterfly valves can be expected to rise. In the future, in addition to building a production system that takes advantage of the strengths of both companies, the Company plans to promote sales of CPL products by utilizing KITZ's global network.
CPL's sales in FY2016 were 30,802 million won (about 3,080 million yen).
A hydrogen station completed at the Nagasaka Plant
Construction of a hydrogen station using small-package units at the Nagasaka Plant (Hokuto city, Yamanashi Prefecture) was completed on Apr. 6, 2018. Because hydrogen energy contributes to the realization of a low-carbon society, it is also backed by the Japanese government. According to newspaper reports, the government is promoting the widespread use of fuel cell vehicles (FCV), has set an installation target for hydrogen stations from an infrastructure standpoint, and is further considering measures such as regulatory reform.
The Company will begin to utilize fuel cell vehicles and fuel cell forklifts themselves, and through the operation of this hydrogen station, they will gather technological information to be used for valve development. In addition, the Company is also considering proposals to the market for small-package units, which would be compact, high-performance, and inexpensive.
The completed hydrogen station uses an off-site supply system (an expandable type that can also be packaged with dispensers) with a compressor/accumulator package unit, and a supply capacity of 55 Nm3/h. Two full FCVs can be filled in one hour (70 Mpa of pressure required to fill an FCV, 35 MPa for a fuel cell forklift).
Large-scale capital investment by Kitz Metal Works
The equipment used by KITZ Metal Works to produce brass bars, and which handles production for the brass bar manufacturing business, has several issues related to long-term operation, such as increased maintenance costs and reduced production efficiency. Meanwhile, in Europe, regulation of lead used in copper alloys for automobiles and electronic components is expected to become stricter in the coming years, and the demand for more environmental materials is expected to increase worldwide. For this reason, the Company decided to invest 5,300 million yen into updating aging manufacturing equipment such as forges, bar manufacturing equipment, and buildings, in order to improve product quality and productivity. Completion and operation are scheduled for June 2019.
(4) Shareholder returns
The Company will raise the interim dividend and term-end dividend by 1 yen/share each, bringing the interim dividend to 8 yen/share and the term-end dividend to 11 yen/share, for a total of 19 yen/share for the full year (the estimated payout ratio is 26.1%). Based on a dividend payout ratio of around 25%, the Company intends to acquire treasury shares with a total return ratio of 33% or more (around one third of profit attributable to owners of parent).